Tuesday, May 06, 2014

Johnny Cueto Leads National League in Run Prevention


Reds Starter Johnny Cueto has been best in the NL in run prevention in 2014.
(Photo credit: Sports.Yahoo.com)

To follow up on my post on run prevention in the American League, I will now present the National League leaders.  There is no surefire way to determine the best pitchers in the league, but a pitcher's job is to prevent runs.  So, it's useful to estimate how many runs pitchers saved their teams compared to an average pitcher.  In the past, I have explored four different ways to do this:    
  • Pitching Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on innings and runs allowed. 
  • Base Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on batters faced and hits, walks, total bases and home runs allowed.
  • FIP Runs - Runs Saved Above Average based on innings, bases on balls, hit batsmen and home runs allowed and strikeouts.
These statistics are discussed in greater detail in the previous post.  The National League aggregate leaders headed by Johnny Cueto are shown in Table 1 below 

Table 1: NL Run Prevention Leaders as of May 5, 2014
Pitcher
Team
IP
Pitching Runs
Adjusted Pitching Runs
Base Runs
FIP Runs
Average
Johnny Cueto
CIN
55.0
16
15
12
5
12
Jose Fernandez
MIA
46.2
7
7
10
12
9
Adam Wainwright
STL
50.0
10
8
9
7
9
Jeff Samardzija
CHC
50.0
10
11
6
5
8
Tim Hudson
SFG
45.2
8
6
9
5
7
Jon Niese*
NYM
39.2
9
8
6
2
6
Julio Teheran
ATL
50.0
9
6
8
0
6
Jason Hammel
CHC
40.2
7
7
6
1
5
Jordan Lyles
COL
44.2
5
6
5
5
5
Gio Gonzalez*
WSN
43.1
5
6
4
6
5
Ervin Santana
ATL
33.2
6
4
3
6
5
Alfredo Simon
CIN
40.2
8
6
6
-1
5
Andrew Cashner
SDP
46.1
5
3
6
4
4
Nathan Eovaldi
MIA
45.1
3
3
5
7
4
Yovani Gallardo
MIL
43.2
7
6
3
2
4
Dillon Gee
NYM
46.2
7
6
5
-1
4
Tom Koehler
MIA
37.1
6
6
4
-2
4
Michael Wacha
STL
42.1
5
2
3
5
4
A.J. Burnett
PHI
43.2
5
6
3
2
4
Data Source: Baseball-Reference.com

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