There is no formula for predicting success in the playoffs. Some will tell you that pitching and defense beats hitting in post-season, or that teams heavily reliant of home runs will struggle or that teams that finish strong will carry momentum into the playoffs. A recent Grantland article shows that those and many other popular narratives are not supported by strong evidence. In reality, there is no reliable way to predict the outcome of a short series, especially in the playoffs where all the teams are good and pretty evenly matched.
The playoffs are largely a crap shoot, but we all like to guess who will win, so here are my predictions:
AL Wildcard
Oakland over Kansas City
NL Wildcard
Pittsburgh over San Francisco
AL First Round
Detroit over Baltimore
Los Angeles over Oakland
NL First Round
St. Louis over Los Angeles,
Washington over Pittsburgh
AL Championship
Detroit over Los Angeles
Washington over St. Louis
World Series
Detroit over Washington
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