Saturday, December 07, 2013

Austin Jackson Lost his Range in 2013

In previous posts, I looked at the Revised Zone Rating (RZR) and Out-of-Zone Plays (OOZ) metrics listed at FanGraphs.  Links to these posts are provided below:
Now, I'll move to the outfield starting in center field.  Table 1 below contains the following information for 21 MLB center fielders with 800 or more innings in 2013:
  • Inn = Innings
  • RZR = Revised Zone Rating
  • OOZ = Out-of-Zone Plays
  • PIZAA =  Plays in Zone Above Average
  • OOZAA = Out-of-Zone Plays Above Average
  • PMAA = Total Plays Above Average
  • RSAA = Runs Saved Above Average
The top center fielders defensively in the majors in 2013 according to these measures were Brewers speedster Carlos Gomez (+26 RSAA) and Mets rookie Juan Lagares (+22).  Both were ordinary on plays in the center field zone (+5 for Gomez, -5 for Lagares), but outstanding outside the zone (+26 and +31).  The worst defender was Adam Jones of the Orioles (-25). 

Tigers center fielder Austin Jackson was seventh in MLB with +4 RSAA, down from +17 in 2012.  This is probably not surprising to those who watched regularly as he seemed to not be making as many plays this year.  Jackson was equally unremarkable on plays inside (+2) and outside the zone (+3) in 2013.  He was much better outside the zone in 2012 when he was +17 plays above average.

Players often peak early defensively, but we can't assume that Jackson's loss of range is permanent.  He missed about a month with a strained hamstring from mid-May to mid-June, so one has to wonder whether it might have affected him throughout the season.  If that's the case, we might see an improved Jackson defensively in 2013 if he stays healthy.  

Table 1: Runs Saved by MLB Center Fielders According to RZR, OOZ, 2013

Player
Team
Inn
RZR
OOZ
PIZ AA
OOZ AA
PMAA
RSAA
Carlos Gomez
MIL
1,242
.942
113
5
26
31
26
Juan Lagares
NYM
819
.900
88
-5
31
26
22
Colby Rasmus
TOR
1,002
.958
81
8
11
19
16
Coco Crisp
OAK
919
.960
67
9
3
12
10
Leonys Martin
TEX
974
.917
76
-2
8
6
5
Alejandro De Aza
CHW
888
.914
69
-3
7
5
4
Austin Jackson
DET
1,145
.936
82
2
        3            5
4
Brandon Barnes
HOU
913
.912
71
-3
7
4
3
Jon Jay
STL
1,285
.927
93
0
3
4
3
Brett Gardner
NYY
1,166
.924
84
-0
3
2
2
A.J. Pollock
ARI
915
.920
66
-1
2
1
1
Jacoby Ellsbury
BOS
1,188
.923
84
-1
1
0
0
Mike Trout
LAA
952
.960
59
8
-7
0
0
Denard Span
WSN
1,300
.911
94
-5
3
-1
-1
Michael Bourn
CLE
1,098
.940
70
3
-7
-4
-3
Dexter Fowler
COL
921
.924
50
-0
-14
-15
-12
B.J. Upton
ATL
975
.917
54
-2
-14
-16
-13
Desmond Jennings
TBR
1,188
.942
58
5
-25
-20
-17
Shin-Soo Choo
CIN
1,333
.911
72
-4
-21
-25
-21
Andrew McCutchen
PIT
1,378
.952
62
7
-34
-27
-22
Adam Jones
BAL
1,394
.899
76
-8
-21
-29
-25
Data source: FanGraphs.com

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