Sunday, December 01, 2013

Tigers Will Not Miss Prince Fielder's Glove

In previous posts, I looked at the Revised Zone Rating (RZR) and Out-of-Zone Plays (OOZ) metrics listed at FanGraphs.  Links to these posts are provided below:
Now, for the first basemen.  Table 1 below contains the following information for 20 MLB first basemen with 800 or more innings in 2013:
  • Inn = Innings
  • RZR = Revised Zone Rating
  • OOZ = Out-of-Zone Plays
  • PIZAA =  Plays in Zone Above Average
  • OOZAA = Out-of-Zone Plays Above Average
  • PMAA = Total Plays Above Average
  • RSAA = Runs Saved Above Average
Note that these statistics do not account for plays made receiving throws from infielders which is among the most important duties of a first baseman. They only consider performance on ground balls.  The top defenders in the majors in 2013 according to these measures were Cubs first sacker Anthony Rizzo (+23 RSAA) and Paul Goldschmidt of the Diamondbacks (+13).

Tigers first baseman Prince Fielder was last in MLB with -19 RSAA.  Not surprisingly, he was less horrible on in-zone plays (-7 plays below average) than out-of-zone plays (-16).  While Fielder rated below average on most advanced metrics, there is some disagreement as to how bad he was: -4 on Total Zone, -7 on FRAA and -13 on DRS. 

Based on RSAA, the combination of Fielder at first and Miguel Cabrera at third was a whopping -43 runs below average in 2013.  So, theoretically, the Tigers could have added four more wins if the two were just average defenders. Cabrera should be moving to first base next year with young Nick Castellanos perhaps taking over at third.  Neither is likely to be a good defender at his new position, but each should be significantly better than the extremes we saw last year.  It is reasonable to think that they could be a 30-run or three-win upgrade defensively over 2013 between the two of them.     

Table 1: Runs Saved by MLB First Basemen According to RZR, OOZ, 2013

Player
Team
Inn
RZR
OOZ
PIZ AA
OOZ AA
PMAA
RSAA
Anthony Rizzo
CHC
1,415
.871
43
13
16
29
23
Paul Goldschmidt
ARI
1,446
.817
40
4
12
16
13
Freddie Freeman
ATL
1,290
.808
39
1
14
15
12
Joey Votto
CIN
1,430
.805
39
1
11
12
10
Brandon Belt
SFG
1,174
.859
26
8
3
12
9
Nick Swisher
CLE
910
.833
21
5
3
9
7
Mitch Moreland
TEX
1,176
.811
28
1
5
7
5
Mike Napoli
BOS
1,097
.876
15
12
-6
6
5
Adrian Gonzalez
LAD
1,291
.846
23
7
-2
5
4
Justin Morneau
- -
1,189
.823
24
4
1
5
4
Lyle Overbay
NYY
1,031
.767
29
-5
9
4
3
Mark Trumbo
LAA
1,030
.780
25
-4
5
1
1
Brandon Moss
OAK
801
.764
17
-4
2
-2
-2
James Loney
TBR
1,277
.796
23
-1
-2
-3
-2
Todd Helton
COL
910
.767
18
-5
0
-5
-4
Chris Davis
BAL
1,377
.799
20
-1
-6
-7
-6
Adam LaRoche
WSN
1,272
.793
19
-2
-5
-7
-6
Justin Smoak
SEA
1,084
.828
8
4
-13
-9
-7
Eric Hosmer
KCR
1,372
.805
16
1
-10
-10
-8
Prince Fielder
DET
1,323
.770
9
-7
-16
-24
-19
   Data Source: FanGraphs.com

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